Severin Borenstein (UCEI and UC Berkeley) and Stephen P. Holland (UCEI)
The standard economic model of efficient competitive markets relies on
the ability of sellers to charge prices that vary as their costs change.
Yet, there is no restructured electricity market in which most retail customers
can be charged realtime prices (RTP), prices that can change as frequently
as wholesale costs. We analyze the impact of having some share of customers
on time-invariant pricing in competitive electricity markets. Not only does
time-invariant pricing in competitive markets lead to outcomes (prices and
investment) that are not first-best, it even fails to achieve the second-best
optimum given the constraint of time-invaraint pricing. We then study
a number of policy interventions that have been proposed to address the perceived
inadequacy of capacity investment. We show that attempts to correct
the level of investment through taxes or subsidies on electricity or capacity
are unlikely to succeed, because these interventions create new inefficiencies.
We demonstrate that the most common proposal, a subsidy to capacity ownership
financed by a tax on retail electricity, is particularly problematic.
An alternative approach to improving efficiency, increasing the share of
customers on RTP, has some surprising effects. We show that such a
change lowers the equilibrium price to flat rate customers and makes them
better off, but it makes incumbent RTP customers worse off. Also, an
increase in RTP customers does not necessarily reduce equilibrium capacity
investment. If the equilibrium flat rate is higher than optimal, then
an increase in RTP customers improves welfare. However, if the equilibrium
rate is lower than optimal, such an increase does not necessarily improve
welfare. We present an example in which welfare decreases, but the
construction of the example suggests it is not likely to be policy relevant.
Finally, we demonstrate that the analysis is robust to inclusion of
a simple form of reserve capacity.
Download this paper in Adobe Acrobat format: http://www.ucei.org/PDF/csemwp106.pdf
The document can be downloaded or viewed using Adobe's Acrobat Reader
(version 4.0 or later). If you do not have Acrobat Reader, you can download
it from Adobe. To DOWNLOAD the documents right mouse click on the name and
then click again on "Save link as..."