Shmuel S. Oren
(Department of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research,
University of California, Berkeley)
This paper discusses alternative approaches that have been adopted around
the world for guaranteeing the appropriate level of investment in electric
generation capacity. We argue that long term reserves should be viewed as
price insurance and be treated as a private good. However, political realities
and asymmetries and distortions in risk management incentives may necessitate
imposition of mandatory levels of such insurance on load serving entities.
Furthermore, centralized markets may be needed as a supplement to bilateral
contracting in order to facilitate efficient procurement of such insurance
and to bridge the gap between the needs of generators and load serving entities
with regard to duration of hedging instruments. We discuss the origins and
shortcomings of capacity payments and capacity obligations and explain how
long term supply contracts in the form of call options with premiums that
depend on the contracts' strike prices can meet the need for ensuring supply
adequacy and the financial health of the generator sector. We also outline
a scheme where regulatory intervention in generation adequacy assurance takes
the form of a hedging requirement imposed at the state level on load serving
entities.
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