Substantial benefits may arise from road pricing through its effects on the
speed and service frequency of public transport. These effects are examined
using a stylized model of local bus transport in a city center, a model requiring
only a few parameters to obtain quantitative estimates. The model highlights
four considerations: the cost savings to users and operators due to reduced
road congestion; the service improvements made feasible by increased ridership;
the potential passthrough of operator cost savings (even after paying for service
improvements) as fare reductions; and the resulting multiplier effects on ridership
and service offerings. The model is applied to central London using data from
the first few months of the congestion charging program implemented in February
2003. Simulation results suggest significant effects, even if the pricing revenues
had not been used to augment the public transport budget as they were in London:
a
ridership increase of 11 percent, a service increase of 7 percent, and user
cost savings equivalent to 38 percent of the fare. Net benefits from these effects
are equal to 39 percent of initial operator costs, suggesting the importance
of fully accounting for these effects when evaluating congestion pricing proposals.
These effects (but not the net benefits) are even larger in cities with more
typical values for bus subsidies and initial modal share.
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