Technology Adoption and Regulatory Regimes: Gas Turbine Electricity
Generators from 1980 to 2001
Jun Ishii, University of California, Irvine
We examine the adoption of gas turbine electricity generators by electric utilities
and independent power producers from 1980 to 2001 in search of evidence of economic
regulation inducing particular type of technology adoption and development.
We focus on three major attributes of gas turbines - capacity, heat rate, and
age - and two major economic regulatory regimes - vertically integrated utilities
operating price-regulated monopoly franchises and independent power producers
competing in restructured, wholesale electricity markets. We argue and demonstrate
using sales data that the decade long move toward greater “deregulation”
of the electricity industry in the U.S. has led to a stronger incentive for
firms to adopt large capacity, heavy frame turbines well suited for combined
cycle, baseload applications. This suggests that recent and current developments
of “CCGT” technology are examples of economic regulation-induced
innovation.
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