University of California Energy Institute

PWP-080

Pricing and Firm Conduct in California's Deregulated Electricity Market


Steven L. Puller
(Texas A&M University)

This article analyzes the pricing behavior of electricity generating firms in the restructured California market from its inception in April 1998 until its collapse in late 2000.  Using detailed firm-level data, I find that conduct is relatively consistent with a Cournot pricing game in 1998-99.  In summer and fall 2000, behavior was distinctly less competitive, yet the dramatic rise in prices was more driven by changes in costs and demand than by changes in firm conduct.  The five large non-utility generators raised prices slightly above unilateral market power levels in 2000, but fell far short of efficient tacit collusion.

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