James B. Bushnell (UCEI) and Erin T. Mansur (Berkeley and UCEI)
Utility services employ nonlinear tariff structures that attempt, though occasionally
fail, to convey information effectively on cost convexities. This paper examines
how customers respond to noisy and volatile tariffs by measuring deregulated
retail rates’ impact on electricity consumption in San Diego. In 2000,
when rates doubled over three summer months, consumers appear to have reacted
more to recent past bills than to more timely price information. By summer’s
end, we find consumption fell 6% while lagging price increases. Even months
after the utility restored low historic rates customers continued curtailing
demand. We conclude that rate structures relying upon lagged wholesale price
averages produce delayed responses to scarcities or high costs.
JEL: L5, Q4
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