Erin T. Mansur (Berkeley and UCEI)
Electricity restructuring offers the potential for
more efficient production and investment, but may create the opportunity
for producers to exercise market power. Oligopolists may cause deadweight
loss in wholesale electricity markets, even when demand is perfectly inelastic,
by inducing cross-firm production inefficiencies. This study estimates
the environmental implications of production inefficiencies attributed
to market power in the Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Maryland electricity
market.
Air pollution fell substantially during 1999, the
year in which both electricity restructuring and new environmental regulation
took effect. I measure production inefficiencies by comparing observed
behavior with estimates of production in a competitive market. During the
period studied, actual production costs, including abatement costs, exceeded
competitive estimates by 8%. Estimates of competitive production, which
account for new environmental regulation, explain only 60% of the observed
pollution reductions. The remaining 40% can be attributed to firms exercising
market power. Given oligopoly behavior in product markets, I discuss the
conditions under which environmental policy makers improve welfare with
permit systems in comparison to pollution taxes.
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